Missouri State
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
302  Jessica Allen SR 20:31
768  Grace Breiten FR 21:13
1,496  Erica Wollmering SO 22:00
1,565  Jordyn Capra SO 22:03
1,708  Paityn Howat SO 22:13
2,251  Danielle Bohannon SO 22:52
2,275  Madeline Saville JR 22:54
2,376  Renae Buschling JR 23:04
2,663  Mercedes Robinson JR 23:34
National Rank #144 of 348
Midwest Region Rank #18 of 37
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 26th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 0.1%
Top 20 in Regional 11.9%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Jessica Allen Grace Breiten Erica Wollmering Jordyn Capra Paityn Howat Danielle Bohannon Madeline Saville Renae Buschling Mercedes Robinson
Missouri Southern Stampede 09/16 1131 20:20 21:43 22:18 22:11 22:18 22:40 22:33 22:52 23:37
Chile Pepper Festival 09/29 1135 20:35 21:09 21:59 21:41 22:06 22:47 22:41 23:03 22:48
Bradley Pink Classic 10/13 1147 20:32 21:19 22:05 22:18 24:06 22:24 23:23 23:12 24:22
Missouri Valley Championship 10/28 1094 20:21 21:04 21:42 21:54 22:07 23:23 22:44 22:56
Midwest Region Championships 11/10 1090 20:26 20:59 21:33 21:53 21:46 22:53 23:24





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 23.9 625 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.9 0.8 2.2 3.4 4.2 6.8 8.1 11.1 13.3 15.8 17.5 11.5 2.7 1.2 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Allen 0.2% 161.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jessica Allen 25.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.7 1.9 1.8 1.8 2.4 3.8 3.8 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.9 3.4 3.4
Grace Breiten 84.9 0.1 0.2
Erica Wollmering 163.8
Jordyn Capra 168.7
Paityn Howat 182.9
Danielle Bohannon 216.1
Madeline Saville 217.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 6
7 7
8 8
9 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 0.3% 0.3 14
15 0.2% 0.2 15
16 0.9% 0.9 16
17 0.8% 0.8 17
18 2.2% 2.2 18
19 3.4% 3.4 19
20 4.2% 4.2 20
21 6.8% 6.8 21
22 8.1% 8.1 22
23 11.1% 11.1 23
24 13.3% 13.3 24
25 15.8% 15.8 25
26 17.5% 17.5 26
27 11.5% 11.5 27
28 2.7% 2.7 28
29 1.2% 1.2 29
30 0.2% 0.2 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0